Paul Merson Predicts Derby Result That Could Shape Arsenal and Chelsea Title Race

Paul Merson suggests the Stamford Bridge clash could define the Arsenal Chelsea title race if Arteta’s side secure a decisive victory.

Paul Merson believes Arsenal could drop points away at Chelsea, yet he insists the title race might swing decisively if the Gunners pull off a win at Stamford Bridge. With Arsenal six points clear at the top, Merson’s verdict adds even more tension to a derby already carrying enormous stakes.

Arsenal arrive in this Premier League showdown on a nine-match unbeaten run, backed by the strongest defensive record across Europe’s top five leagues. Their only defeat this season was a narrow 1-0 loss to Liverpool in August. Confidence is also high after a significant midweek victory over Bayern Munich — Arsenal’s first triumph over the German side in more than a decade.

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Chelsea, meanwhile, remain the closest challengers in the title picture, making this fixture crucial for both clubs.

In his Sportkeeda column, Paul Merson predicts a draw at Stamford Bridge, noting that, while Arsenal has impressed, the venue remains one of the league’s most difficult grounds. He argued that Chelsea’s quality and home advantage could force Arsenal to settle for just one point.

However, Merson also warned that if Arsenal manage to win, the title race could be “over.” A victory would hand Arsenal a dominant lead and reinforce growing belief that Mikel Arteta’s team is finally primed to reclaim the Premier League crown — 22 years after Arsène Wenger’s last triumph.

Declan Rice: Arteta’s “Most Important” Player

Merson highlighted Declan Rice as the single most crucial figure in the squad this season. His defensive discipline, midfield control, and ability to dictate tempo have transformed Arsenal’s stability.

Rice shields the back line, drives transitions, and maintains composure in high-pressure moments. While Arsenal boast attacking flair through Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli, Merson stressed that Rice’s influence, intelligence, and leadership make him irreplaceable.

Why Declan Rice Matters More Than Ever

Rice’s impact stretches across every department of Arsenal’s play. His positioning improves defensive numbers, his distribution accelerates attacks, and his presence frees Martin Ødegaard to create without restriction.

His big-game mentality, seen again in the Bayern Munich win, underlines why Arsenal’s title push relies heavily on his consistency and authority in midfield.

Paul Merson’s assessment heightens anticipation for the Chelsea vs Arsenal derby. While he expects Arsenal to drop points, his belief that a win could end the title race adds enormous weight to the encounter. With Declan Rice at the heart of Arteta’s structure, the Gunners carry the resilience and control required to chase their long-awaited Premier League crown.

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